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Today’s Ratings and Advice 07/05/13

Another near five point profit on the day for those that simply punt the top rated horse to a point stake. That means, in the first week of May, the Ratings have produced a level stake profit of 34pts off that top rated horse alone.

Yesterday was just surreal. The first four rated races all produced the winners and later successes in the shape of SAINT HELENA 4/1, in my dutch because OMAR KHAYYAM was taken out and that 14/1 shot ABOVE THE STARS, who won the race in which I thought the tissue favourite was unbeatable (so did everyone, looking at the market), meant an exceptional day of punting had been completed. Even the decision to select TOTO SKYLLACHY ahead of the top rated horse proved a winner, as he romped in at 7/2. I guess that makes up for Saturday!

Today two meetings and six rated races. Fingers crossed the roll goes on.

Assumptions:

CATTERICK BRIDGE – Flat (Updated:07/05/2013 at 06:45:54)   

GoingGood to Firm
(GoingStick: 9.1 on Monday at 10:15)

Stalls7f and 2m – Centre

RailsFar bend dolled out 3yds

WeatherDry overnight
Forecast: Tuesday – Dry with sunny spells, 19C

WateringWatered – Applied 6mm to whole track Friday/Saturday and 5mm
to both straights Monday

YARMOUTH – Flat (Updated:07/05/2013 at 06:47:07)   

GoingGood to Firm
(GoingStick: 7.5 on Tuesday at 06:45)

StallsStraight – Middle,1m3f/1m1f – Inside

WeatherForecast is due to be dry with a light breeze through to racing.

WateringWill continue to Water to maintain. Last 6 furlongs being watered
this morning.

* indicates horses having won previously on the going as currently described

YARMOUTH 2-50

*LOVE YOU LOUIS….+9
TOM SAWYER….+9
*LIBERTY SHIP….+5
ONE KOOL DUDE….+1
*WHISKEY JUNCTION….-10
*SPEEDYFIX….-15
*IRISH BOY….-16
*DANZOE….-23
BEAUTY PAGEANT….-35

THREE TO DUTCH – LOVE YOU LOUIS, LIBERTY SHIP, WHISKEY JUNCTION
20/80 – LOVE YOU LOUIS
EXOTICS – LOVE YOU LOUIS, LIBERTY SHIP, WHISKEY JUNCTION
LAY – NONE

ADVICE – The racing at Yarmouth is 99% of the time low grade stuff that barely ever creeps above Class 5 and today is no exception. You punt knowing full well that those participating would never be much out of place joining in the Wildebeest exodus across the Serengeti. But we still find the diamonds in the dust left behind and whilst staking in all races today will be kept sensible, I’ll play this race as indicated above.

YARMOUTH 3-50

KHAJAALY….+12
*SPIN AGAIN….+9
*JONNIE SKULL….+8
*PINK LIPS….+/-0
*SAIRAAM….-2
COACH MONTANA….-5
KATY’S SECRET….-10
HAMBLE….-13
PERFECT CH’I….-24
ATHLETIC….-35
NORSE SONG….-40
GIVE US A BELLE….-40

THREE TO DUTCH – SPIN AGAIN, JONNIE SKULL, PINK LIPS
20/80 – SPIN AGAIN
EXOTICS – SPIN AGAIN, JONNIE SKULL, PINK LIPS
LAY – NONE
PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – Low/middle only, please….if anything drawn 9, 10, 11 or 12 wins, I’m a loser here.

ADVICE – The three selected are drawn right, have won previously on good to firm, and sit comfortably in my top six rated so, they get the call to arms!

YARMOUTH 4-50

*SANCHO PANZA….+4
ATTRACTION TICKET….-9
*DAZZLING VALENTINE….-12
FOCAIL MAITH….-13
*MAISON BRILLET….-13
ASTROGOLD….-26
GABRIAL’S HOPE….-35

ADVICE – The vibes emanating from this one are not good and I’m of a mind it’s a no bet race for me. Good luck if you get involved!

CATTERICK 7-10

*ORPSIE BOY….+9
*BEST TRIP….+9
*ORATORY….+8
*SNOW BAY….-1
*SMALLJOHN….-1
LLEWELLYN….-4
SOLAR SPIRIT….-9
BREEZOLINI….-12

THREE TO DUTCH – ORPSIE BOY, BEST TRIP, ORATORY
20/80 – ORPSIE BOY
EXOTICS – ORPSIE BOY, BEST TRIP, ORATORY
LAY – NONE

ADVICE – A very tight, competitive event and i’m hoping it’s now that Ruth Carr kicks into gear because recently I have had her horses right up there and they’ve let me down. I mentioned a few weeks back she is one trainer I find very difficult to work out and when playing hers you most certainly need the insurance a dutch provides!

CATTERICK 7-40

*MAID OF MEFT….+3
*BIJOU DAN….-6
*HEART OF DUBAI….-7
*DANCEINTOTHELIGHT….-11
*HI DANCER….-19
*GRAND ART….-22
*AMIR PASHA….-22
OPERATEUR….-30
KODICIL….-34
JAN SMUTS….-35
BRUNELLO….-40
GOLDAN JESS….-40
SEA CLIFF….-40
FERNEY BOY….-40
SUMMERLEA….-40

ADVICE – You wouldn’t trust any of these as far as you could throw them. In races of this type I just tend to think my figures will be either right, or wrong. It’s a top three dutch, 20/80 MAID OF MEFT and exotics to my absolute minimum staking. My figures suggest we have the front three on the tissue beaten but laying anything in this would be akin to playing hopscotch on a minefield.

CATTERICK 8-40

*CHOSEN ONE….+11
*JUST LIKE HEAVEN….+9
*MR MO JO….+8
*IMPERIAL LEGEND….+5
*ALMOND BRANCHES….-4
*BRONZE BEAU….-7
*ROYAL BAJAN….-10
TUIBAMA….-20
AVON BREEZE….-30
DREAMING OF RUBIES….-32

THREE TO DUTCH – CHOSEN ONE, IMPERIAL LEGEND, BRONZE BEAU
20/80 – CHOSEN ONE
EXOTICS – CHOSEN ONE, IMPERIAL LEGEND, BRONZE BEAU
LAY – NONE
PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – Low looks an absolute “must have” here. I wouldn’t want high for a big clock and if anything drawn 8, 9 or 10 pops up then like the one above earlier, it’ll be the layers dancing. The three I have selected for my dutch all have a box slot, all have won on the ground so, it’s just a case of the jockeys doing the rest.

OF INTEREST

ROC DE PRINCE (Catterick 6-40) – 20/80

BET OF THE DAY

I’m afraid I do not see anything I would want to get my hands dirty for today so we’ll give it a miss in this section.

LAY OF THE DAY

Likewise. It’s really a quiet day on the punting front, with the fun beginning again tomorrow.

Have a great day and the very best of luck if you get involved.

Kindest regards

Ron

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