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Today’s Ratings and Advice 28/02/13

I have a few e-mails that still need responding to and I’ll try to get to them this morning but with Cheltenham now very much in sight, it’s all plates spinning at the moment and I would hate one of them to drop!

Yesterday we posted up the first of Sean Trivass’s stable visit pieces on the Post Racing website and one or two winners most definitely lurks in there! He popped down to speak to Nicky Henderson who, let’s face it, houses the best in the country right now. I would most certainly suggest you drop by for a read.

Today I’ll be putting up his piece on the trip he made to the stables of David Pipe and tomorrow…or maybe Sunday (give you something to read over the Alpen), his visit to the yard of Paul Nicholls.

So, how did we do yesterday? On the lay side of things it’s brilliant right now. Purple patch springs to mind! Herdsman was another poor tissue favourite to get well turned over and we had a cracking good result in that Wincanton 2-30!

WINCANTON 2-30

RUSSIAN SONG….+9  – 3RD 33/1
EARTH TREMOR….+9
*E STREET BOY….+8 – WON 5/1 > 4/1
CALL ME SIR….+7 – 6TH 10/1
*ORION EXPRESS….+4
*NOTHINGBUTTHETRUTH….-2
LAFLAMMEDEGLORIE….-16
CEEPEEGEE….-19
GLENWOOD PRINCE….-25
FRANKLINO….-34
KILRUSH….-36
ADRENALIN FLIGHT….-40
BOOMTOWN KAT….-40
CLADDING….-40
ADMIRAL BOOM….-40
UNION SAINT….-40

THREE TO DUTCH – RUSSIAN SONG, EARTH TREMOR, E STREET BOY
20/80 – E STREET BOY – WON 5/1 > 4/1
EXOTICS – RUSSIAN SONG, EARTH TREMOR, E STREET BOY
LAY – ADMIRAL BOOM – PU

So close to a very decent exotic but with the 20/80, dutch and the lay all secured, it wasn’t a bad old result.

The only three with previous winning form in the Bangor 3-50 were the first three home and whilst not in the order I had hoped for, we still secured a nice enough dutch off that 7/1 winner, Storm Survivor.

I did also get involved in laying Gizzit, in that Wincanton 4-00. A 6/4 shot in a race like that he never was and with my top rated, Prickles, running a cracker, getting done a short head @ 10/1, you have to be thinking the figures are more or less working as they should right now.

All in all, I’m very happy with how things are going and I’ve also been happy with my initial Cheltenham work, too. Things really are buzzing here now.

TODAY

This is the perfect example of why I will take a holiday in February next year. Two meetings, very few runners, Hunter Chase’s, and you can just tell it’s on the back burner now.

LUDLOW – Jump (Updated:27/02/2013 at 07:59:49)   

GoingGOOD TO SOFT
(GoingStick: 7.5 on Tuesday at 12:00)RailsAll bends have been moved for best ground.
Hurdles are on extreme outside of course for whole circuit.
The Water jump will be used for all chases.
The stable bend will be divided
The course was rolled on MondayWeatherHas been mostly dry since 14th February.
Yesterday: Cloudy & Overcast. Some light drizzle.
Dry overnight. No frost.
Forecast: Met office 7.00am 27th February.
Today: Overcast all day. Max 5C Min 0C
Thursday: Misty, slight frost early -1C.
Then clearing to sunny day Max 7C

TAUNTON – Jump (Updated:27/02/2013 at 07:33:40)   

GoingChase Course – Soft (Going Stick 5.2)
Hurdle Course – Soft, Good to Soft in places (Going Stick 6.5)
(GoingStick: 5.9 on Tuesday at 14:45)RailsRail moved on bends to fresh ground reducing the Chase Course by
83 yds per circuit and increasing the Hurdle Course by 71 yds per
circuit.WeatherForecast for continuing dry weather albeit still on the cold
side.
Today max+6C.
Tomorrow min-1C max+6C

* indicates horses previously successful on the going as currently described

LUDLOW 3-30

*BUCK MULLIGAN….+10
*GROVE PRIDE….+8
*COOTEHILL….+7
POLITEO….-1
*BALLYOLIVER….-3
*ZARRAFAKT….-12
*REQUIN….-15
THE CHAZER….-20
PEARLYSTEPS….-30

THREE TO DUTCH – BUCK MULLIGAN, GROVE PRIDE, COOTEHILL
20/80 – BUCK MULLIGAN
EXOTICS – BUCK MULLIGAN, GROVE PRIDE, COOTEHILL
LAY – NONE

ADVICE – Four of the nine taking part here failed to complete last time up and I get the sense this might be a bit like trying to piddle into a wind. I’ve got my figures up though and I will work with them but, to be honest, staking between now and Cheltenham will not be making ripples on any punting ponds I play near.

TAUNTON 5-10

BY COMMAND….+6
CUCKOO ROCK….+/-0
POSH EMILY….-12
*LADY BRIDGET….-15
SCALES….-27
MOONLIGHT MAGGIE….-30
ASIAN PRINCE….-35
MEIRIG’S DREAM….-36
COME ON ANNIE….-38
SARENICE….-40
GREEN LIGHTNING….-40

ADVICE – We have to wait until 5-10pm for a play here and it’s a complete dog of a race. We do, however, get a chance to apply my theory that Ffos Las form doesn’t travel. Here we have a very short priced favourite who, until she won on unraceable ground there, was destined for Findus. Totally different scenario this afternoon. There she had heavy, going left handed. Here she has soft, going right handed….currently no wins, or placing, in four attempts going this way around. My top rated is a crook but, he is blinkered for the first time over hurdles today and did perform better when wearing them on the flat. They will though, have to perform like Potters wand to produce a win here. The only play would be a small 20/80 LADY BRIDGET….I think I have wasted enough time on this one.

OF INTEREST

KING OF GLORY (Taunton 2-40) – 20/80
DECIMUS (Taunton 3-40) – 20/80
WHO’S CROSS (Ludlow 2-00) – 20/80
MATROW’S LADY (Ludlow 3-00) – straight win

Very much time to just be tinkering unless anything leaps off the pages as a genuine play

Have a brilliant day and the very best of luck if you are punting.

Kindest regards

Ron

 

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