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Today’s Ratings and Advice 20/02/13

Very nearly a spectacular result from that first rated race at Taunton yesterday and despite my more than considerable reservations about both the race and the going, there was not a lot wrong with my figures. Going over the last I was convinced we had a nice priced top rated winner but the legs went to jelly. Eight of that 14 runner field pulled up and that was more or less expected at this end.

The lone rated race at Wetherby produced a successful dutch but in truth, not a lot went on with regards punting and hopefully today offers us something a tad more decent to work with. It is certainly a heck of a lot better quality wise than what we witnessed yesterday!

ASSUMPTIONS

LUDLOW – SOFT
DONCASTER – GOOD TO SOFT

* INDICATES HORSES PREVIOUSLY SUCCESSFUL ON THE GOING AS CURRENTLY DESCRIBED

LUDLOW 2-40

DUNGENESS….-16
KING MASSINI….-16
BLACK IS BEAUTIFUL….-22
*GO ANNIE….-25
THE FOX’S DECREE….-28
*SAMTHEMAN….-30
QUALIVIRO….-31
SAGA DE TERCEY….-34
RADIUS BLEU….-40

THREE TO DUTCH – DUNGENESS, KING MASSINI, BLACK IS BEAUTIFUL
20/80 – DUNGENESS
EXOTICS – DUNGENESS, KING MASSINI, BLACK IS BEAUTIFUL
LAY – NONE

ADVICE – Having said the racing today is a lot better than yesterday, this race gives lie to that statement. October Rules or nowt is how I myself will cover it.

LUDLOW 3-15

MORGAN’S BAY….+11
LAST SHOT….+8
*TARKARI….+8
DARCEY’S DANCER….-2
ANOTHER TRUMP….-7
FULL OV BEANS….-10
*STAR GALAXY….-20
*BOBBY DOVE….-25
NEXT TO NOWHERE….-31
ORANGER….-35
ACCESSALLAREAS….-40
TO LIVE….-40

THREE TO DUTCH – MORGAN’S BAY, LAST SHOT, TARKARI
20/80 – MORGAN’S BAY
EXOTICS – MORGAN’S BAY, LAST SHOT, TARKARI
LAY – BOBBY DOVE

ADVICE – This is quite competitive, if a little lacking in quality. You wouldn’t be wanting the mortgage on a race like this and I’ll again keep my staking low and simply work with my top three.

LUDLOW 3-45

*DRUSSELL….+12
*ROWLESTONE LAD….+8
ULTIMATE….+2
*PEARLS LEGEND….-6
THEGAYGARDENER….-7
CLARION CALL….-8
*SCOGLIO….-12
KING ZEAL….-20
DREAMBROOK LADY….-31
TESHALI….-40

THREE TO DUTCH – DRUSSELL, ROWLESTONE LAD, ULTIMATE
20/80 – DRUSSELL
EXOTICS – DRUSSELL, ROWLESTONE LAD, ULTIMATE
LAY – NONE

ADVICE – We have three obtaining a + rating for the second race in succession and I’ll put my trust in the numbers. This would be the best of my three rated races from this track and I’ve a good feeling about it.

DONCASTER 2-50

*CORKAGE….+8
WEST END ROCKER….-1
*SWING BILL….-7
*ZITENKA….-9
*MONKERTY TUNKERTY….-12
*AURORAS ENCORE….-17
*ALWAYS WAINING….-17
MARUFO….-18
*PROPHETE DE GUYE….-21
DASHING GEORGE….-30

ADVICE – I’m not a “fan” of these veteran races, although I did produce a decent result from one recently. I’ve worked on it and will just have a 20/80 CORKAGE because of that hour+ otherwise it was wasted!

DONCASTER 3-55

*VELATOR….+9
*HARVEY’S HOPE….+8
*MISTER DILLON….+8
*KNIGHT PASS….+5
*JETNOVA….+3
*DOCTOR FOXTROT….-4
KENT STREET….-5
*MOONLIGHT DRIVE….-10
HOT WHISKEY….-10
*DAWN TWISTER….-12
*ENTER PARADISE….-23
*COCACOBANA….-27
*MY ARCH….-35
*SOLWAY SAM….-35
*SHALONE….-35
SOLWAY BAY….-40

THREE TO DUTCH – VELATOR, HARVEY’S HOPE, MISTER DILLON
20/80 – VELATOR
EXOTICS – VELATOR, HARVEY’S HOPE, MISTER DILLON
LAY – NONE

ADVICE – The best race of the day by some way. Ultra competitive, plenty going for lots of the runners and I’m simply putting faith in my figures again. I just have to hope Anthony Honeyball has my top rated fit after his long absence….if not, my second best will take a bit of beating.

OF INTEREST

NEW YEARS EVE (Doncaster 3-25) – straight win
PURPLE BAY (Doncaster 5-05) – 20/80

Have a great day and best of luck!

Kindest regards

Ron

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