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Today’s Ratings and Advice 05/02/13

Pats on the back and plaudits first.

No doubting Sean Trivass is pulling up trees for you right now and something that should have been mentioned in yesterday’s Newsletter was the fact DIVERS ran a mighty race to finish third @ 20/1. Sean had highlighted the chances of this one in his piece last week….I know that several were on e.w.

What should also have been mentioned in yesterday’s Newsletter was just how close Michel-Jean’s golf tip Brandt Snedeker came to winning the Phoenix Open. But for Phil Mickelson’s magical first day, you may all have been raising a glass in the direction of Le France. He also suggested that Lee Westwood was not going to Dubai to top up his tan and a joint 5th finish augurs well for what, I’m sure, will prove to be a very informative and profitable section of the website.

And then we had our mystery greyhound tipster who contacted me through the week and advised us of the names of three dogs to watch out for….all three duly obliged….7/4, 11/10, 10/11. I have always treated greyhounds with more suspicion than I do an MP. Some of the stories I used to be told as a kid, by my old man, about how they stopped them at Seaforth made me wince. A novel use of an elastic band and for sure, that would slow anyone or anything down and a complete waste of whisky that was, to speed them up!

If you would like to see a greyhound section introduced into the site please let me know. For now any information received regarding our canine friends will be pinged out in a separate Newsletter, as was done last week.

YESTERDAY

The gloss, if there was ever going to be one yesterday, was completely lost when DARLAN fell at the last flight, suffering a fatal injury in the process. AP was so gutted he stood himself down for the rest of the day and was quoted as saying, “why is it always the good one?”. Unfortunately, an hour later, that was proven not to be the case when the nine year old, Class 5 Handicap chaser MUJAMEAD also suffered a fatal injury. Both were cracking good horses in their grades and both will be missed by their connections, equally as much.

Yesterday’s horse racing results were about what was expected. In the opening rated race most horses were being ridden after the first circuit and clearly fitness was an issue for most. The winner and runner up were in my top four rated horses GIVEITACHANCE 14/1 > 8/1 and GENNY WREN 16/1 > 12/1 proving the figures right.

Jonjo’s runner in that 4-05pm race very nearly did it but so very sad to see my top rated not going home in his horse box.

The first and second at 4-35 were priced 16/1 and 20/1, the third had been punted from 11/1 > 8/1, the fourth home another 11/1 shot and the fifth a mahoosive 16/1….only the sixth placed horse 7/1 beating a 25/1 shot by 3/4 of a length for that spot, offering any glimmer of hope that the race might have been anything but a punting graveyard.

Had I gone for that million, Tarrant would have been grinning as he ripped the cheque to pieces.

We cannot win right now though….pun intended….as Doncaster had a very dry night, which made the ground good for the most part but, they were then racing into a head wind which made running up the straight a chore and a half. I’m seriously thinking that February might be a good time to go away next year!….having said that, if the last 12 months is anything to go by, all bar November would be a good month!!

TODAY

We have two meetings, one of which undergoes an inspection at 8-00am (if they are getting our weather down Market Rasen way, it’ll be a kite and not a stick used to see if racing can take place), but I’ve only three rated races to offer up.

ASSUMPTIONS:

MARKET RASEN – SOFT, GOOD TO SOFT IN PLACES (INSPECTION 8-00AM)
SEDGEFIELD – SOFT

* INDICATES HORSES HAVING PREVIOUSLY WON ON THE GOING AS CURRENTLY DESCRIBED.

MARKET RASEN 3-30

*O CROTAIGH….+9
*NO NO BINGO….+8
BALINROAB….+2
*THE MAGIC BISHOP….-14
*PYRACANTHA….-19
PATSY FINNEGAN….-25
*NOT SO SURE DICK….-25
*GALWAY JACK….-30
BALBRIGGAN….-40
THE BLACK BARON….-40

ADVICE – Again I’ll be abstaining today…not least because Karen is whizzing me out for my birthday lunch! I will be watching the racing when I get back but if I were considering punting this race it would be the three highest rated having achieved the * next to their names. You could, alternatively, just run with my top three and run up the October Rules flag. Either way, it’s a low staking affair.

SEDGEFIELD 2-50

GWLADYS STREET….+10
OVERAFRICA….+9
DUNEEN POINT….+1
*ONIZ TIPTOES….+/-0
STOP ON….-9
*ROWAN ROAD….-17
SEYMOUR ERIC….-20
EASEMENT….-26
*BOLLIN FIONA….-32
TOPLANDER….-34

ADVICE – This feels “weird”. All the recent wins by any taking part here have been achieved on ground that was, probably, unraceable and trying to set up races right now, using recent formlines, is going to be a nightmare. Another I’d rather just watch or, play to October Rules and see what happens.

SEDGEFIELD 3-20

GAVROCHE GAUGAIN….-4
SLEEP IN FIRST….-9
*EMIRATE ISLE….-19
*SUPRISE VENDOR….-21
NO WAY HOZAY….-27
VARDAS SUPREME….-27

ADVICE – I really will be genuinely surprised if I have a proper bet until we get to the week of the Festival, the way things are stacking up. None of these can be trusted to produce of their best on a consistent basis and despite NO WAY HOZAY having won his last two, he’s up 17lb for having done so and with, again, both those wins having been produced on heavy ground, will he be inconvenienced by the weight rise and quicker ground today? Only one placing from six previous attempts on soft would suggest that may be the case.

OF INTEREST

Lunch at Giraffe.

Have a great day and best of luck if you get involved

Kindest regards

Ron

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