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Today’s Ratings and Advice 10/12/12

Just two winning races from the six presented to you yesterday, Douglas Julian a lovely 20/1 winner in the dutch and George Nympton, a top rated 3/1 job. Anna’s Arch came close to giving me a 50% strike rate on the day but failed by just a short head to land that 1-25. Had Captain Americo also not come home second in that marathon at Kelso the Scottish track would have been my favourite place on earth yesterday.

It was actually a tad frustrating at Warwick, too. The 2-40 basically fell apart and I didn’t bet that race and then my top rated, Life Long, ran second @ 16/1 in the 3-10….to my lay.

Very happy with my figures though and I guess not every day can be our day.

I’m hoping and praying Musselburgh passes the 7-00am inspection. That card would grace a Saturday!

ASSUMPTIONS:

MUSSELBURGH – GOOD TO SOFT, GOOD IN PLACES
FAKENHAM – SOFT, GOOD TO SOFT IN PLACES

If Musselburgh has seen a heavy frost set in then whilst the going description might still hold true, lifting a hoof out of it will be a tad more difficult.

MUSSELBURGH 1-20

RED TANBER….+19
SWIFT ARROW….+9
KEALIGOLANE….+7
GLENCREE….+4
HOUSTON DYNIMO….+3
QUITO DU TRESOR….+/-0
CREEKSIDE….-1
CIVIL UNREST….-12
HAZY TOM….-15
FRDDIE BROWN….-23

THREE TO DUTCH – RED TANBER, GLENCREE, QUITO DU TRESOR
20/80 – RED TANBER
EXOTICS – RED TANBER, GLENCREE, QUITO DU TRESOR
LAY – NONE

ADVICE – Cracking good racing here today, if they get the green light. I will know before I finish this, if they have. The three I have selected, from my top six rated horses, have all won on good to soft but it will ride slower than that, if a heavy frost has got in. I will know by 1-00pm if it has and will do my best to update everyone using Facebook, Twitter and the new website….just check out the Twitter feed on the home page.

MUSSELBURGH 1-50

*EVERAARD….+12
UNCUT STONE….+9
BENMADIGAN….+8
*FRONTIER BOY….-1
VALLANI….-13
JAGO RIVER….-15
WORD OF WARNING….-25
MOMKINZAIN….-28
*EVERDON BROOK….-35
I GOT SUNSHINE….-36
GLASSON LAD….-38
RELAND….-40
PYJAMA GAME….-40
POLITICAL PADDY….-40
ERYCINA….-40

THREE TO DUTCH – EVERAARD, UNCUT STONE, BENMADIGAN
20/80 – UNCUT STONE
EXOTICS – EVERAARD, UNCUT STONE, BENMADIGAN
LAY – EVERDON BROOK

ADVICE – Tricky. Only three of these has winning form on good to soft…indicated by the *….and one of them is my lay. it will not carry much by way of the shekels but I’ll work with my top three and play my second highest rated 20/80 simply because he is totally unexposed and can surely only improve.

MUSSELBURGH 2-20

RUMBLE OF THUNDER….+10
PARC DES PRINCES….+8
ULTIMATE….+8
SKINT….+7
UBALTIQUE….+4
CASTLETOWN BRIDGE….+2
HI GEORGE….-6
GOLDAN JESS….-13
MASON HINDMARSH….-15
ROCK RELIEF….-16
PARSON’S PUNCH….-19
GRAND DIAMOND….-21
LATIN CONNECTION….-25
MASTERFUL ACT….-28
SAMSTOWN….-32

THREE TO DUTCH – RUMBLE OF THUNDER, PARC DES PRINCES, ULTIMATE
20/80 – PARC DES PRINCES
EXOTICS – RUMBLE OF THUNDER, PARC DES PRINCES, ULTIMATE
LAY – NONE

ADVICE – I do not like the feeling this race is giving me at all. only my top rated, in my top six, has winning form on good to soft and with the trip a huge question mark over his head, I suggest you either play to my October Rules or, just watch this one.

MUSSELBURGH 2-50

STORMING GALE….+12
ISLA PERAL FISHER….+9
BLENHEIM BROOK….+9
CATEGORICAL….+8
TYRONE HOUSE….+4
BALDING BANKER….-4
O CROTAIGH….-7
MONTOYA’S SON….-10
POSH BIRD….-12
ETXALAR….-15
PEACHEY MOMENT….-17
DAWN COMMANDER….-25
SOLWAY BAY….-36
FORTYSECOND STREET….-36

THREE TO DUTCH – STORMING GALE, ISLA PEARL FISHER, BLENHEIM BROOK
20/80 – STORMING GALE
EXOTICS – STORMING GALE, ISLA PEARL FISHER, BLENHEIM BROOK
LAY – DAWN COMMANDER

ADVICE – Another very competitive, very tricky one to solve. Everything in my top six has winning form on the going as currently described so my only real option is to trust my numbers.

FAKENHAM 1-30

LILAC BELLE….+19
MON DESIR….+11
IF I HAD HIM….+10
AJMAN….+9
WILY FOX….+8
SCOTSBROOK LEGEND….+/-0
DUNASKIN….-13
WHITE DIAMOND….-15
DREAM RISK….-20
CATAWOLLOW….-29
LISDONAGH HOUSE….-35
SHILPA….-40
WOM….-40

THREE TO DUTCH – LILAC BELLE, MON DESIR, IF I HAD HIM
20/80 – LILAC BELLE
EXOTICS – LILAC BELLE, MON DESIR, IF I HAD HIM
LAY – NONE

ADVICE – Another very competitive, very tricky race to solve. I’m actually enjoying the chase today! If I have this right then it’ll be a whistles and bells moment up Wirral way but to be honest I fancy a few of these to run well, WILY FOX amongst them so very much a case of me trusting my figures again on what is a very competitive, busy afternoon of racing.

FAKENHAM 2-30

PHARE ISLE….+14
LIEUTENANT MILLER….+14
JIVE MASTER….+11
THE GOOD GUY….+5
WHO OWNS ME….-6
MANSHOOR….-12
NEZ ROUGE….-20
GO AMWELL….-27
OCCASIONALLY YOURS….-31
OSCAR’S SECRET….-33

THREE TO DUTCH – PHARE ISLE, LIEUTENANT MILLER, JIVE MASTER
20/80 – PHARE ISLE
EXOTICS – PHARE ISLE, LIEUTENANT MILLER, JIVE MASTER
LAY – NONE

ADVICE – Another race in which if I’m right, Santa has come early. I feel like I’m playing Russian roulette today and I’m hoping it’s an empty chamber that’s dropped into place!

OF INTEREST

LIBERTY COURT (Fakenham 1-00) – 20/80
CROSS OF HONOUR (Fakenham 2-00) – straight win
BRIJOMI QUEEN (Musselburgh 3-20) – 20/80

Apologies for this coming out later than usual but a fuse blew this morning and stopped me dead in my tracks for a while!

best of luck if you get involved…wear a tin hat!

Kindest regards

Ron

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