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Today’s Ratings and Advice 07/12/12

If racing at Aintree goes ahead this weekend, I’ll be checking the runners out from those establishments that equine swimming facilities, because an element of front crawl will be required at some point. The rain on Merseyside has been torrential and it is falling on ground that will already be testing.

As expected yesterday the wheels came off racing and two of the meetings were abandoned. It was good to see Leicester doing the right thing this week and not waiting for the impossible to happen before calling it off. I did smile when I read that the Clerk there was waiting for the sun to come out to see if that helped. As far as I’m aware, -6 is -6, whether the sun is out or not! It would have simply been a nice sunny, freezing cold day!

Today is just plain weird. Two meetings but just one handicap to work with and that will be run on seriously testing ground at Exeter. The going there is described as soft, heavy in places and hopefully it rides like that because that’s what I’ll be basing my play on.

EXETER 1-30

ARBOR SUPREME….+14
LORD TOMNODDY….+12
OUR ISLAND….+5
SHAKING HANDS….+4
AMMUNITION….-8
MISS FLEUR….-17
DESPERATE DEX….-25
GRADUATION NIGHT….-33
CHESAPEAKE….-33
RIVER D’OR….-36

THREE TO DUTCH – ARBOR SUPREME, LORD TOMNODDY, OUR ISLAND
20/80 – LORD TOMNODDY
EXOTICS – ARBOR SUPREME, LORD TOMNODDY, OUR ISLAND
LAY – NONE

ADVICE – My figures look solid but let’s be honest, which of us knows the name of the horse that will stays four miles in the Exeter mud? What I do know is that Kim Bailey has his fit as butcher’s dogs when they go racing….I have seen the sand pit they train in!….he has an 80% strike rate with steeplechasers here, Nick Scholfield is riding brilliantly (see his ride on QUADDICK LAKE, yesterday), and he sits second best on my figures. It may well be the concession of a stone to a horse like AMMUNITION, a previous course winner, proves impossible but we’ll all be much wiser after the event. SHAKING HANDS keeps winking at me, too. If the going forecast had been the other way around, he would have definitely been in my dutch but right now I can only work with “what is”.

OF INTEREST

AL SHABABIYA (Exeter 3-15) – 20/80
CAPTAIN CARDINGTON (Sandown 12-40) – 20/80
THANKS FOR COMING (Sandown 1-10) – 20/80
SOUTHFIELD THEATRE (Sandown 1-45) – straight win

Fingers crossed those responsible for the weather look kindly on us tomorrow and we get proper racing ground. How nice would that be!

Have a great day and best of luck if you are punting

Kindest regards

Ron

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