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Today’s Ratings and advice 13/11/12

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YESTERDAY

Another decent day at the office. The lone rated race at Carlisle proved well rated and my decision making spot on. First time out is always the time to catch ROYAL MACKINTOSH as he’s brittle and at 11, wont stand much racing but, he dug deep to hold off my top rated yesterday, landing us a dutch, a nice exatca, a decent enough CSF and we got the “80” back off FOG PATCHES, too. What a consistent horse he is!

Two of the three OF INTEREST selections from there also provided profit, both backed from 5/4 into odds on and winning easily.

Southwell – CUE TO CUE won cosy enough, producing the dutch and the profits in that 2-15 and don’t anyone try and tell me we would not have enjoyed a 16/1 winner and a lovely exacta, had TANNERMAN stood up instead of falling two out. He was going much easier than our winner in that dutch and seemed to jump the hurdle well enough, but then crumpled. It should have been a great day, instead, we settled for decent. I always will.

 

Today we have Huntingdon, Lingfield and Sedgefield providing the fun and games.

 

LINGFIELD 3-00

MASTER MILAN….+10

MORESTEAD….+8

MARESCSOU….-2

LORD SINGER….-7

WATERGATE….-11

CRANKY CORNER….-19

OWNER OCCUPIER….-20

 

THREE TO DUTCH – MASTER MILAN, MORESTEAD, MARESCSOU

20/80 – MASTER MILAN

EXOTICS – MASTER MILAN, MORESTEAD, MARESCSOU

LAY – NONE

 

ADVICE – A poor race contested by serioiusly inconsistent types that will be played as the numbers have fallen but to low staking.

 

HUNTINGDON 1-10

ROYALE KNIGHT….+12

ROMNEY MARSH….-8

MARKET MAKER….-14

SWEET PRINCE….-19

FORMEDABLE….-40

WHITCOMBE SPIRIT….-40

 

ADVICE – My top rated, all things being equal, will win doing handsprings but it’s not a race I will invest in finacially, given the likely prohibitive odds we will be asked to take in a handicap.

 

HUNTINGDON 3-10

RUBY CROWN….+15

BELLE DE FONTENAY….+9

DANCE FOR LIVVY….-7

RED CURRENT….-17

COUNTESS COMET….-20

SYNTHE DAVIS….-23

 

TWO TO DUTCH – RUBY CROWN, BELLE DE FONTENAY

20/80 – RUBY CROWN

EXOTIC – RUBY CROWN, BELLE DE FONTENAY

LAY – NONE

 

ADVICE – None of these has won on soft ground before so, something breaks its duck today. Low staking again and using my figures in the order suggested.

 

SEDGEFIELD 1-50

GAVROCHE GAUGAIN….+10

OSCAR LENEY….+10

SCHINKEN OTTO….+8

TURF TRIVIA….-1

BRAVE SPARTACUS….-9

STROBE….-13

ON GOSSAMER WINGS….-16

HIGHLAND LOVE….-22

QUINDER SPRING….-25

 

THREE TO DUTCH – GAVROCHE GAUGAIN, OSCAR LENEY, SCHINKEN OTTO

20/80 – GAVROCHE GAUGAIN

EXOTICS – GAVROCHE GAUGAIN, OSCAR LENEY, SCHINKEN OTTO

LAY – QUINDER SPRING

 

ADVICE – Low grade but competitive enough. i’m hopeful rather than convinced though and whist I will trust my figures, my own staking will reflect that I’m punting more in hope!

 

SEDGEFIELD 2-20

SPARKLING TARA….+9

JURISDICTION….-1

ALMUTAHAM….-8

COPPER’S GOLD….-17

ALPHA ONE….-20

LITTLE CHIP….-40

 

TWO TO DUTCH – SPARKLING TARA, JURISDICTION

20/80 – SPARKLING TARA

EXOTIC – SPARKLING TARA, JURISDICTION

LAY – NONE

 

ADVICE – This lot are seriously difficult to win with and if my figures prove right, it’ll be because the top rated was on a going day. Shekels rather than pounds, me thinks.

 

SEDGEFIELD 2-50

FLORA’S PRIDE….+2

RASAM ALDAAR….+1

AUTHENTIC ACT….-6

NO SUPPER….-7

SNOOKER….-8

ANNA’S ARCH….-12

KING’S CHORISTER….-18

EMIRATE ISLE….-24

RAVI RIVER….-33

NORTHERN ACRES….-34

FARMERS CROSS….-40

TAKAATUF….-40

AGRICULTURAL….-40

 

THREE TO DUTCH – RASAAM ALDAAR, AUTHENTIC ACT, NO SUPPER

20/80 – RASAM ALDAAR

EXOTICS – RASAAM ALDAAR, AUTHENTIC ACT, NO SUPPER

LAY – NONE

 

ADVICE – This has all the appeal of trying to piddle into a wind. If you must get involved in this one, do it for a laugh and play only to pennies. I’m simply using my figues, selecting the highest rated horses that have won previously on good ground but in no way does that mean they’ll ever do it again.

 

SEDGEFIELD 3-20

BUCK MULLIGAN….+9

CORKAGE….+9

TYRONE HOUSE….+8

CARPINCHO….+3

NO PLANNING….-9

RICH LORD….-18

PENA DORADA….-27

GLOBAL FLYER….-35

RACKHAM LEROUGE….-35

 

THREE TO DUTCH – BUCK MULLIGAN, CORKAGE, TYRONE HOUSE

20/80 – BUCK MULLIGAN

EXOTICS – BUCK MULLIGAN, CORKAGE, TYRONE HOUSE

LAY – NONE

 

ADVICE – My top three sit clear on my numbers and, this being the best race of the day, I’ll play them. Not convinced I have my top two in the right order but the runes say yes.

 

SEDGEFIELD 3-50

DIZZY RIVER….+16

SCRIPTWRITER….+12

STAR IN FLIGHT….+11

ARGAUM….+9

MR SUPREME….+8

BANYAN TREE….-5

DOM LUKKA….-5

 

TWO TO DUTCH – DIZZY RIVER, SCRIPTWRITER

20/80 – DIZZY RIVER

EXOTIC – DIZZY RIVER, SCRIPTWRITER

LAY – NONE

 

ADVICE – My figures are telling me this is actually ultra competitive, despite a low turn out for an ordinary prize. We shall see if they speak true!

 

OF INTEREST

 

BLACKWATER KING (Sedgefield 12-50) – straight win

TICK TOCKER (Sedgefield 1-20) – straight win

TADABEER (Huntingdon 2-10) – 20/80

LOOKOUT MOUNTAIN (Lingfield 2-00) – straight win

 

Have a brilliant day and the very best of luck if you get involved.

Kindest regards

Ron

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